Language:English
Platense v Deportivo Riestra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.71%35.76%38.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.562.602.8243.86%39.02%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visit)
Prediction 30.44%3.28fair odd
EV +0.467%
Edge +0.142%
Kelly +0.203%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%30.44%30.39%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.063.3035.09%32.64%32.68%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.89%2.95fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%33.85%33.85%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.8538.46%36.32%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 35.66%; Deportivo Riestra (Visit): 30.44%; Draw: 33.89%. For Platense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.564%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.91%EV -1.22%E -0.440%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.66%E -0.515%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.16%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -4.71%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -4.76%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.97%EV -9.78%E -3.86%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 10:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.92%E -4.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.91%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.58%E -0.805%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -18.69%E -8.20%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |