Idioma:Español
Platense v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 35.66%2.80momio equitativo
EV +0.564%
Ventaja +0.200%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.27%35.71%35.76%38.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.562.602.8243.86%39.02%38.46%35.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 30.44%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.467%
Ventaja +0.142%
Kelly +0.203%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%30.44%30.39%31.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.063.3035.09%32.64%32.68%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.89%2.95momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%33.85%33.85%35.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.8538.46%36.32%36.36%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Platense (Local): 35.66%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 30.44%; Empate: 33.89%. Para Platense (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.564%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.91%EV -1.22%E -0.440%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.66%E -0.515%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.16%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -4.71%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -4.76%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 02:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.97%EV -9.78%E -3.86%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 10:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.92%E -4.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.91%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.58%E -0.805%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -18.69%E -8.20%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |