StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense v Deportivo Riestra

Matchstart: 2026-09-04 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Platense 1–1 Deportivo Riestra

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense (Hemma)

Prognos 35.66%2.80rättvist odds
EV +0.564%
Fördel +0.200%
Kelly +0.310%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.27%35.71%35.76%38.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.282.562.602.8243.86%39.02%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Borta)

Prognos 30.44%3.28rättvist odds
EV +0.467%
Fördel +0.142%
Kelly +0.203%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.53%30.44%30.39%31.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.063.063.3035.09%32.64%32.68%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.89%2.95rättvist odds
EV -3.40%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -1.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.88%33.85%33.85%35.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.752.752.8538.46%36.32%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Platense (Hemma): 35.66%; Deportivo Riestra (Borta): 30.44%; Oavgjort: 33.89%. För Platense (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.80. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.82, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.564%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:09
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:10
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.91%EV -1.22%E -0.440%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.66%E -0.515%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.16%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:10
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -4.71%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -4.76%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:04
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 02:09
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:14
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 02:08
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:19
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 10:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 10:20
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 12:34
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.97%EV -9.78%E -3.86%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 10:03
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.92%E -4.82%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.91%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-04 12:35
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 02:09
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.58%E -0.805%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 02:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -18.69%E -8.20%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 08:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-09-04 10:15
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%1.7%2026-09-04 14:20