默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Platense v Deportivo Riestra

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Platense 1–1 Deportivo Riestra

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Platense (主队)

预测 35.66%2.80公平赔率
EV +0.564%
优势 +0.200%
Kelly +0.310%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.82

博彩公司预测分布
34.27%35.71%35.76%38.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.562.602.8243.86%39.02%38.46%35.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Deportivo Riestra (客队)

预测 30.44%3.28公平赔率
EV +0.467%
优势 +0.142%
Kelly +0.203%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.53%30.44%30.39%31.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.063.063.3035.09%32.64%32.68%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 33.89%2.95公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.88%33.85%33.85%35.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.752.752.8538.46%36.32%36.36%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Platense (主队):35.66%;Deportivo Riestra (客队):30.44%;平局:33.89%。 对于“Platense (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.80。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.82,对应+0.564%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:09
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.564%E +0.200%K +0.310%G +0.002%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.15%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 02:10
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.91%EV -1.22%E -0.440%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.66%E -0.515%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.16%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:10
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -4.71%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -4.76%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:04
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 02:09
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.50%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:14
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 02:08
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.45%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:19
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 10:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 10:20
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 12:34
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.97%EV -9.78%E -3.86%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 10:03
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.92%E -4.82%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.91%EV -11.87%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-04 12:35
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.467%E +0.142%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.63%E -5.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 02:09
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.58%E -0.805%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 02:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.41%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -17.27%E -7.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.34%EV -18.69%E -8.20%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 08:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-09-04 10:15
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%1.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%1.7%2026-09-04 14:20