Idioma:Português
Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield BA
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Previsão 32.84%3.05odd justa
EV +1.79%
Vantagem +0.578%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescimento +0.015%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.08%32.63%32.93%34.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.25%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Previsão 35.18%2.84odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.54%35.41%35.14%38.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.582.642.7544.44%38.80%37.88%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 31.99%3.13odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.801%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.39%31.96%31.93%32.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.902.903.0537.04%34.47%34.48%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Newells Old Boys (Local): 32.84%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante): 35.18%; Empate: 31.99%. Para Newells Old Boys (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.05. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.
Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV +0.149%E +0.049%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.42%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -6.07%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -8.52%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -20.85%E -9.27%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.76%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 08:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 02:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -2.44%E -0.801%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -11.35%E -4.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.64%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.82%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.68%EV -11.40%E -4.12%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -12.99%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.64%E -5.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.97%E -5.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04% | 0.0% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 21.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 55.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 22.55% | 64.2% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |