Langue:Français
Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Prévision 32.84%3.05cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.578%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%32.63%32.93%34.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.25%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.18%2.84cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.54%35.41%35.14%38.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.582.642.7544.44%38.80%37.88%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.99%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.801%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.39%31.96%31.93%32.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.0537.04%34.47%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newells Old Boys (Local) : 32.84% ; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur) : 35.18% ; Match nul : 31.99%. Pour Newells Old Boys (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.05. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.79%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV +0.149%E +0.049%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.42%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -6.07%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -8.52%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -20.85%E -9.27%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.76%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 08:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 02:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -2.44%E -0.801%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -11.35%E -4.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.64%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.82%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.68%EV -11.40%E -4.12%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-07 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-07 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -12.99%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.64%E -5.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.97%E -5.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04% | 0.0% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 21.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 55.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 22.55% | 64.2% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |