Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield BA

Inizio: 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC

Finale: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Velez Sarsfield BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newells Old Boys (Casa)

Previsione 32.84%3.05quota equa
EV +1.79%
Vantaggio +0.578%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.08%32.63%32.93%34.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.25%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.18%2.84quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.54%35.41%35.14%38.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.582.642.7544.44%38.80%37.88%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.99%3.13quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.801%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.39%31.96%31.93%32.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.902.903.0537.04%34.47%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Newells Old Boys (Casa): 32.84%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta): 35.18%; Pareggio: 31.99%. Per Newells Old Boys (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.05. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.79%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV +1.79%E +0.578%K +0.853%G +0.015%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 23:50
BetAnything🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV +0.478%E +0.156%K +0.232%G +0.001%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.10%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 12:45
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV +0.149%E +0.049%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 07:00
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.42%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.67%EV -19.79%E -8.68%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -6.07%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -8.52%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -5.43%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -20.85%E -9.27%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.76%E -2.01%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 02:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 08:09
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:00
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:03
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 23:19
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 02:51
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 02:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 06:54
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -2.44%E -0.801%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:14
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -9.70%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:13
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -11.35%E -4.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.64%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.82%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.68%EV -11.40%E -4.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -12.99%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 12:39
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.64%E -5.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 23:09
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.97%E -5.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04%0.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 30.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%10.3%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%13.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.34%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.93%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%13.1%2026-09-09 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 21.59%1.09I 91.74%NM 55.86%2.70I 37.04%NM 22.55%64.2%2026-09-09 16:50