Language:English
Lanus v Newells Old Boys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 56.42%1.77fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%56.39%56.50%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.631.641.6967.57%61.39%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visit)
Prediction 16.47%6.07fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 6.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.28%16.48%16.41%17.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.625.606.1620.41%17.81%17.86%16.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.934%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%27.13%27.09%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 56.42%; Newells Old Boys (Visit): 16.47%; Draw: 27.10%. For Newells Old Boys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.61%EV +1.47%E +0.238%K +0.284%G +0.004% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.34%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.90%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.39%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.78%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -11.98%E -7.68%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.31%EV -8.03%E -4.92%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.58%EV -16.49%E -11.14%K -34.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.51%EV -11.05%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.67%E -8.93%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.34%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.52%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -12.46%E -3.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-17 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.63%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -14.35%E -2.76%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -11.41%E -7.27%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -17.64%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.98%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -19.29%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.45% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41% | 2.2% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |