StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lanus v Newells Old Boys

Matchstart: 2026-03-17 22:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lanus (Hemma)

Prognos 56.42%1.77rättvist odds
EV -4.64%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -6.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.43%56.39%56.50%57.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.631.641.6967.57%61.39%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Borta)

Prognos 16.47%6.07rättvist odds
EV +1.47%
Fördel +0.238%
Kelly +0.284%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.28%16.48%16.41%17.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.905.625.606.1620.41%17.81%17.86%16.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.10%3.69rättvist odds
EV -2.43%
Fördel -0.675%
Kelly -0.934%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.21%27.13%27.09%28.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lanus (Hemma): 56.42%; Newells Old Boys (Borta): 16.47%; Oavgjort: 27.10%. För Newells Old Boys (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.07. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.16, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.47%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.61%EV +1.47%E +0.238%K +0.284%G +0.004%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.34%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.90%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.39%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.78%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 21:40
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:44
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -11.98%E -7.68%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-17 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.31%EV -8.03%E -4.92%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 56.58%EV -16.49%E -11.14%K -34.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.51%EV -11.05%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-17 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.67%E -8.93%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.34%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-17 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.52%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -12.46%E -3.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.63%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -14.35%E -2.76%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -11.41%E -7.27%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -17.64%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.98%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -19.29%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.45%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-03-17 21:55