La scuola delle quote

Lanus v Newells Old Boys

Inizio: 2026-03-17 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lanus (Casa)

Previsione 56.42%1.77quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -2.75%
Kelly -6.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.43%56.39%56.50%57.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.631.641.6967.57%61.39%60.98%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.47%6.07quota equa
EV +1.47%
Vantaggio +0.238%
Kelly +0.284%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.28%16.48%16.41%17.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.625.606.1620.41%17.81%17.86%16.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.10%3.69quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -0.934%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.21%27.13%27.09%28.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.61%EV +1.47%E +0.238%K +0.284%G +0.004%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.34%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.90%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.39%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 21:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 21:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.78%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 21:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 21:40
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:44
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -11.98%E -7.68%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-17 21:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 21:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.31%EV -8.03%E -4.92%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 21:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 21:40
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 21:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 21:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 21:50
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.58%EV -16.49%E -11.14%K -34.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.51%EV -11.05%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-17 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.67%E -8.93%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.34%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-17 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.52%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -12.46%E -3.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:44
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.63%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -14.35%E -2.76%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -11.41%E -7.27%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -17.64%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.98%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -19.29%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.45%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-03-17 21:55