L’École des cotes

Lanus v Newells Old Boys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lanus (Local)

Prévision 56.42%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -6.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.43%56.39%56.50%57.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.631.641.6967.57%61.39%60.98%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newells Old Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.47%6.07cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.284%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.28%16.48%16.41%17.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.625.606.1620.41%17.81%17.86%16.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.934%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.21%27.13%27.09%28.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.23%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.61%EV +1.47%E +0.238%K +0.284%G +0.004%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.34%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.90%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -8.39%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 21:55
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.17%E -0.195%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 21:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -2.82%E -0.477%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:45
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 21:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.46%E -0.769%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.78%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 21:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.29%E -0.919%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 21:40
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:44
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.33%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.47%EV -10.85%E -6.87%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.56%EV -11.98%E -7.68%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -7.76%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-17 21:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 21:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.31%EV -8.03%E -4.92%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 21:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 21:40
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 21:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 21:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.84%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.40%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 21:50
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.58%EV -16.49%E -11.14%K -34.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.51%EV -11.05%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-17 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.67%E -8.93%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.34%EV -12.70%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-17 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.16%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -13.52%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -12.46%E -3.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 21:44
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.63%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -14.35%E -2.76%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -11.41%E -7.27%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -17.64%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -18.69%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.98%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -19.29%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:45
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-17 21:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.45%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-17 21:45
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-03-17 21:55