StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente Rivadavia v Union Santa Fe

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Independiente Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente Rivadavia (Hemma)

Prognos 42.99%2.33rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -1.45%
Kelly -2.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.97%42.98%42.96%46.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.022.142.152.2549.50%46.66%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Union Santa Fe (Borta)

Prognos 26.21%3.82rättvist odds
EV +6.93%
Fördel +1.70%
Kelly +2.25%
Tillväxt +0.156%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.51%26.32%26.20%27.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.513.504.0832.26%28.47%28.57%24.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.80%3.25rättvist odds
EV -1.44%
Fördel -0.451%
Kelly -0.656%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.52%30.70%30.84%31.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.033.053.2036.36%33.05%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Independiente Rivadavia (Hemma): 42.99%; Union Santa Fe (Borta): 26.21%; Oavgjort: 30.80%. För Union Santa Fe (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.82. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.08, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.93%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.12%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV +6.93%E +1.70%K +2.25%G +0.156%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -2.67%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 00:15
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.70%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:35
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:18
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:24
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:24
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.85%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 22:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.70%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -6.99%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:14
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 00:08
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 00:09
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -12.29%E -6.03%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 00:09
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 00:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 00:03
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.76%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.00%EV -13.15%E -6.51%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.27%EV -11.61%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.76%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-09 20:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-10 00:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-05-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-05-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-10 00:19
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-05-09 23:29