A Escola das Odds

Independiente Rivadavia v Union Santa Fe

Início: 2026-05-10 00:30 UTC

Final: Independiente Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Previsão 42.99%2.33odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%42.98%42.96%46.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.022.142.152.2549.50%46.66%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Santa Fe (Visitante)

Previsão 26.21%3.82odd justa
EV +6.93%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescimento +0.156%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.51%26.32%26.20%27.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.504.0832.26%28.47%28.57%24.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.80%3.25odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.451%
Kelly -0.656%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.52%30.70%30.84%31.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.033.053.2036.36%33.05%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.12%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV +6.93%E +1.70%K +2.25%G +0.156%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -2.67%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 00:15
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.70%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 00:15
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:34
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:35
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:34
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:18
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:24
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:14
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 00:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:24
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.85%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 00:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 22:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 19:14
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.70%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -6.99%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:10
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:14
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 00:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 00:08
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 00:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -12.29%E -6.03%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 00:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 00:24
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 00:09
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 00:18
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 16:24
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 00:03
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 00:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 00:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.76%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 16:24
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.00%EV -13.15%E -6.51%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.27%EV -11.61%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.76%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-09 20:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-10 00:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-05-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-05-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-10 00:19
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-05-09 23:29