La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Independiente Rivadavia v Union Santa Fe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Independiente Rivadavia (Casa)
Previsione 42.99%2.33quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.97%42.98%42.96%46.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.142.152.2549.50%46.66%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Union Santa Fe (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.21%3.82quota equa
EV +6.93%
Vantaggio +1.70%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescita +0.156%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.08
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.51%26.32%26.20%27.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.504.0832.26%28.47%28.57%24.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.80%3.25quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.451%
Kelly -0.656%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.52%30.70%30.84%31.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.033.053.2036.36%33.05%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.12%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV +6.93%E +1.70%K +2.25%G +0.156% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -2.67%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.70%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 00:18 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.99%E -3.74%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.85%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.70%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -6.99%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:14 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 00:08 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -11.43%E -5.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.24%EV -12.29%E -6.03%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 00:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 00:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -10.57%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 00:03 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.76%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.86%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.00%EV -13.15%E -6.51%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.83%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.27%EV -11.61%E -4.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-10 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.76%E -6.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-09 20:38 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |