Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%34.77%34.59%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.642.672.9942.55%37.88%37.38%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV -0.245%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.119%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.67%32.71%34.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.22%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV -0.412%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.56%32.70%33.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.842.853.0540.00%35.24%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 34.64%; Rosario Central (Visit): 32.71%; Draw: 32.65%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.12%EV +3.58%E +1.20%K +1.80%G +0.064% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.18%EV -8.09%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -2.66%E -0.946%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.88%E -0.627%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.12%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 00:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -14.13%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 00:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.29%EV -12.36%E -4.88%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.55%E -3.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -14.44%E -5.84%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.22%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.25%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.54%EV -18.37%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -18.59%E -7.91%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |