A Escola das Odds

Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario Central

Início: 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Previsão 34.64%2.89odd justa
EV +3.58%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.064%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.12%34.77%34.59%38.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.642.672.9942.55%37.88%37.38%33.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Previsão 32.71%3.06odd justa
EV -0.245%
Vantagem -0.080%
Kelly -0.119%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.82%32.67%32.71%34.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.22%35.09%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.65%3.06odd justa
EV -0.412%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.201%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.82%32.56%32.70%33.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.842.853.0540.00%35.24%35.09%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 32.12%EV +3.58%E +1.20%K +1.80%G +0.064%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.18%EV -8.09%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:00
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:59
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -2.66%E -0.946%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.88%E -0.627%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 01:09
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:59
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:50
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:09
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:09
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:10
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 00:59
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.12%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 01:09
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:49
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 01:09
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 00:48
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 01:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -14.13%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-23 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 01:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 00:58
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 01:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-23 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.29%EV -12.36%E -4.88%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.55%E -3.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:09
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -14.44%E -5.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-23 01:00
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 01:09
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.22%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.25%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.54%EV -18.37%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-23 01:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-23 01:09
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-23 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -18.59%E -7.91%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-23 01:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:10
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.0%2026-03-23 00:50