La escuela de los momios

Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario Central

Inicio: 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV +3.58%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.12%34.77%34.59%38.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.642.672.9942.55%37.88%37.38%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Predicción 32.71%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.245%
Ventaja -0.080%
Kelly -0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%32.67%32.71%34.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.22%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.65%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.412%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%32.56%32.70%33.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.842.853.0540.00%35.24%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 32.12%EV +3.58%E +1.20%K +1.80%G +0.064%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.18%EV -8.09%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:00
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 17:59
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -2.66%E -0.946%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.88%E -0.627%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 01:09
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:59
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:50
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:09
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:09
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:10
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 00:59
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.12%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 01:09
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 01:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:49
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 01:09
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 00:48
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 01:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -14.13%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-23 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 01:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 00:58
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 01:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-23 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.29%EV -12.36%E -4.88%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.55%E -3.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-23 01:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:09
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:09
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -14.44%E -5.84%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-23 01:00
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 01:09
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.22%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.25%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.54%EV -18.37%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-23 01:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-23 01:09
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-23 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -18.59%E -7.91%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-23 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:10
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-03-23 01:09
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%1.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.0%2026-03-23 00:50