L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente Rivadavia v Rosario Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.064%
avec la cote maximale 2.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.12%34.77%34.59%38.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.642.672.9942.55%37.88%37.38%33.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rosario Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.71%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.245%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.119%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.67%32.71%34.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.22%35.09%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.65%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.412%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.201%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.56%32.70%33.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.842.853.0540.00%35.24%35.09%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.12%EV +3.58%E +1.20%K +1.80%G +0.064% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.18%EV -8.09%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.75%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -2.66%E -0.946%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -1.88%E -0.627%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.12%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 00:48 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -14.13%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -6.13%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 00:58 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.94%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-23 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.29%EV -12.36%E -4.88%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.55%E -3.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.33%E -5.03%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -14.09%E -5.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -14.44%E -5.84%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -12.67%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.245%E -0.080%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -0.412%E -0.135%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.22%EV -15.13%E -6.17%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.25%EV -14.96%E -5.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.54%EV -18.37%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-23 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -17.55%E -7.38%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -3.68%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -18.59%E -7.91%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 01:09 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 00:50 |