Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Barracas Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 64.20%1.56fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.39%64.20%64.23%66.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.441.451.5078.13%69.46%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barracas Central (Visit)
Prediction 12.10%8.26fair odd
EV +6.75%
Edge +0.765%
Kelly +0.863%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 8.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.87%12.13%12.13%13.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.667.508.8215.38%13.05%13.33%11.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.69%4.22fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.78%23.67%23.65%25.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.1028.57%25.81%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 64.20%; Barracas Central (Visit): 12.10%; Draw: 23.69%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.26. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.82I 11.34%NM 10.93%EV +6.75%E +0.765%K +0.863%G +0.058% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.85%E -0.696%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.49%EV -1.36%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.12%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.83%E -6.22%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -12.68%E -9.33%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.60%E -0.717%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.38%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -6.20%E -0.800%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.92%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.82%E -13.92%K -63.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.84%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.33%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -13.33%E -9.87%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 00:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.78%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.40%EV -12.86%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.19%E -5.73%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.76%E -7.74%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.73% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.86% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |