La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Barracas Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 64.20%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -7.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.39%64.20%64.23%66.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.441.451.5078.13%69.46%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barracas Central (Visitante)
Predicción 12.10%8.26momio equitativo
EV +6.75%
Ventaja +0.765%
Kelly +0.863%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.87%12.13%12.13%13.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.667.508.8215.38%13.05%13.33%11.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.69%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.696%
Kelly -0.921%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.78%23.67%23.65%25.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.904.1028.57%25.81%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.82I 11.34%NM 10.93%EV +6.75%E +0.765%K +0.863%G +0.058% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.85%E -0.696%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.49%EV -1.36%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.12%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.83%E -6.22%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -12.68%E -9.33%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.60%E -0.717%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.38%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -6.20%E -0.800%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.92%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.82%E -13.92%K -63.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.84%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.33%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -13.33%E -9.87%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 00:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.78%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.40%EV -12.86%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.19%E -5.73%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.76%E -7.74%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.73% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.86% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |