A Escola das Odds

Independiente Rivadavia v Barracas Central

Início: 2026-03-12 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Previsão 64.20%1.56odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -7.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.39%64.20%64.23%66.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.441.451.5078.13%69.46%68.97%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barracas Central (Visitante)

Previsão 12.10%8.26odd justa
EV +6.75%
Vantagem +0.765%
Kelly +0.863%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.87%12.13%12.13%13.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.667.508.8215.38%13.05%13.33%11.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.69%4.22odd justa
EV -2.85%
Vantagem -0.696%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.78%23.67%23.65%25.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.873.904.1028.57%25.81%25.64%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.82I 11.34%NM 10.93%EV +6.75%E +0.765%K +0.863%G +0.058%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.85%E -0.696%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 00:54
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:24
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:24
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:24
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 00:36
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.49%EV -1.36%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.12%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:50
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 00:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:50
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.83%E -6.22%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 00:36
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -12.68%E -9.33%K -35.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 00:36
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.60%E -0.717%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:54
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.38%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -6.20%E -0.800%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 00:54
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 00:54
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 19:15
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 00:49
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:24
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 00:54
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.92%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 00:54
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 23:14
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-12 00:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-12 00:45
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.82%E -13.92%K -63.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-12 00:36
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 19:15
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 00:54
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.84%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.33%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 00:36
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -13.33%E -9.87%K -38.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-12 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.78%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.40%EV -12.86%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 00:36
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 19:40
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 00:49
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.19%E -5.73%K -19.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.76%E -7.74%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-12 00:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.73%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-03-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-03-12 00:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-03-12 00:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-03-12 00:54
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.86%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%2.6%2026-03-12 00:55
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-03-12 00:55