L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente Rivadavia v Barracas Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prévision 64.20%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -7.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.39%64.20%64.23%66.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.441.451.5078.13%69.46%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barracas Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.10%8.26cote équitable
EV +6.75%
Avantage +0.765%
Kelly +0.863%
Croissance +0.058%
avec la cote maximale 8.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.87%12.13%12.13%13.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.667.508.8215.38%13.05%13.33%11.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.696%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%23.67%23.65%25.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.904.1028.57%25.81%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.82I 11.34%NM 10.93%EV +6.75%E +0.765%K +0.863%G +0.058% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.85%E -0.696%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.08%EV +4.09%E +0.475%K +0.538%G +0.022% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.51%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +2.88%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.61%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.49%EV -1.36%E -0.167%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -7.12%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.83%E -6.22%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -12.68%E -9.33%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -3.18%E -0.397%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.60%E -0.717%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.38%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -6.20%E -0.800%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.23%EV -6.81%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -3.70%E -2.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.62%E -3.82%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.92%EV -6.26%E -4.29%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.82%E -13.92%K -63.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.23%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.07%E -4.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -4.98%E -3.36%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.39%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.48%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.84%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.33%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -13.33%E -9.87%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 00:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.78%EV -10.12%E -7.23%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.40%EV -12.86%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.91%E -4.76%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.55%E -5.24%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.28%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.19%E -5.73%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.76%E -7.74%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 00:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.73% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.86% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 00:55 |