StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia Mendoza v Boca Juniors

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Gimnasia Mendoza 2–2 Boca Juniors

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Hemma)

Prognos 29.89%3.35rättvist odds
EV +56.92%
Fördel +10.84%
Kelly +13.39%
Tillväxt +7.62%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.00%29.19%29.91%31.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.923.193.105.2534.25%31.30%32.26%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Boca Juniors (Borta)

Prognos 38.83%2.58rättvist odds
EV +0.970%
Fördel +0.373%
Kelly +0.606%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.59%39.62%38.86%53.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.772.342.332.6056.50%42.78%42.92%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.28%3.20rättvist odds
EV +3.21%
Fördel +0.972%
Kelly +1.39%
Tillväxt +0.045%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.63%31.19%31.23%33.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.973.003.3036.36%33.67%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gimnasia Mendoza (Hemma): 29.89%; Boca Juniors (Borta): 38.83%; Oavgjort: 31.28%. För Gimnasia Mendoza (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.35. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +56.92%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV +56.92%E +10.84%K +13.39%G +7.62%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -31.26%E -17.66%K -40.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV +3.21%E +0.972%K +1.39%G +0.045%5.8%2026-08-31 17:09
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV +3.12%E +0.905%K +1.27%G +0.040%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.06%EV -5.24%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -10.55%E -3.69%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -2.14%E -0.848%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:49
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -2.14%E -0.848%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 08:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.52%E -4.08%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.52%E -4.08%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:05
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:53
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 01:00
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 08:54
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 08:55
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 11:10
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.95%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.01%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -7.43%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:29
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 20:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:02
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -8.36%E -2.85%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 01:00
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:14
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 20:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -15.34%E -7.04%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.970%E +0.373%K +0.606%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:04
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 10:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.76%EV -11.23%E -3.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.10%EV -9.90%E -4.27%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.14%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 20:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.12%EV -12.72%E -4.36%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.91%EV -9.90%E -4.27%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 09:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.92%4.3%2026-09-04 14:35