Langue:Français
Gimnasia Mendoza v Boca Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV +56.92%
Avantage +10.84%
Kelly +13.39%
Croissance +7.62%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.00%29.19%29.91%31.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.193.105.2534.25%31.30%32.26%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.83%2.58cote équitable
EV +0.970%
Avantage +0.373%
Kelly +0.606%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%39.62%38.86%53.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.772.342.332.6056.50%42.78%42.92%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.28%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +0.972%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.63%31.19%31.23%33.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.3036.36%33.67%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia Mendoza (Local) : 29.89% ; Boca Juniors (Visiteur) : 38.83% ; Match nul : 31.28%. Pour Gimnasia Mendoza (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.35. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +56.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV +56.92%E +10.84%K +13.39%G +7.62% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -31.26%E -17.66%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV +3.21%E +0.972%K +1.39%G +0.045% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV +3.12%E +0.905%K +1.27%G +0.040% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.06%EV -5.24%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -10.55%E -3.69%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -2.14%E -0.848%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -2.14%E -0.848%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 19:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -1.36%E -0.413%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 08:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.52%E -4.08%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.52%E -4.08%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.86%E -0.879%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 08:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 08:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.95%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.01%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -7.43%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 08:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -8.36%E -2.85%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 20:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -15.34%E -7.04%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.970%E +0.373%K +0.606%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.76%EV -11.23%E -3.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.10%EV -9.90%E -4.27%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.14%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -10.87%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.12%EV -12.72%E -4.36%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.91%EV -9.90%E -4.27%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.68% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.92% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |