Language:English
Gimnasia La Plata v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 35.41%2.82fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.57%35.56%35.36%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.622.7243.48%38.79%38.17%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 32.17%3.11fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.61%32.12%32.17%33.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0537.04%34.71%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.42%3.08fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.32%32.46%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.76%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 35.41%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 32.17%; Draw: 32.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 02:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.97%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.86%EV -6.31%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.07%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -7.93%E -2.79%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.86%E -2.61%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 09:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -2.75%E -0.916%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.15%E -4.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.47%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-01 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.13%EV -12.53%E -5.07%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.29%E -3.29%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.20%E -3.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -18.55%E -8.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |