Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.72
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Gimnasia La Plata (Casa): 35.41%; CA Tigre BA (Trasferta): 32.17%; Pareggio: 32.42%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.08. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.05, con un valore atteso del -1.13%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 02:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.97%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.86%EV -6.31%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 05:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.07%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -7.93%E -2.79%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.86%E -2.61%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 09:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -2.75%E -0.916%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.15%E -4.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.47%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-01 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.13%EV -12.53%E -5.07%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.29%E -3.29%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.20%E -3.68%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 17:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -18.55%E -8.06%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-01 07:50 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |