Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia La Plata v CA Tigre BA

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 17:30 UTC

Score final : Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 CA Tigre BA

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 35.41%2.82cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%35.56%35.36%38.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.622.7243.48%38.79%38.17%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.17%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.61%32.12%32.17%33.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.0537.04%34.71%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.42%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.369%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.32%32.46%33.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.76%34.72%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia La Plata (Local) : 35.41% ; CA Tigre BA (Visiteur) : 32.17% ; Match nul : 32.42%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.05, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:04
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -3.67%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 02:55
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:15
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.97%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.86%EV -6.31%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:00
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -4.74%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -5.02%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 05:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 05:40
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:34
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 05:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.07%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -7.93%E -2.79%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:38
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.86%E -2.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 09:44
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -2.75%E -0.916%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.71%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 09:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 01:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:05
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.64%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 23:40
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 17:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.15%E -4.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -11.46%E -4.59%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.54%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.47%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-01 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.13%EV -12.53%E -5.07%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.65%EV -9.29%E -3.29%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.20%E -3.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 17:33
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -1.13%E -0.369%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -4.37%E -1.48%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 07:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.85%E -3.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -17.49%E -7.50%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -7.61%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -18.55%E -8.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -9.23%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-01 07:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%5.0%2026-09-04 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%5.0%2026-09-04 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%5.0%2026-09-04 14:00
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%6.1%2026-09-04 07:05