Language:English
Gimnasia La Plata v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.909%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%27.45%27.48%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7632.26%29.50%29.41%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 41.32%2.42fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.41%41.39%42.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3147.62%44.93%44.44%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.18%3.21fair odd
EV -0.234%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%31.15%31.13%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.963.003.2037.04%33.80%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 27.50%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 41.32%; Draw: 31.18%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV +3.42%E +0.909%K +1.24%G +0.042% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.92%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -0.985%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -12.40%E -5.85%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.21%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -0.234%E -0.073%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 06:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.64%E -4.92%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |