La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gimnasia La Plata v Argentinos Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +0.909%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.94%27.45%27.48%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.7632.26%29.50%29.41%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 41.32%2.42momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.16%41.41%41.39%42.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.252.3147.62%44.93%44.44%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.234%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.45%31.15%31.13%32.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.963.003.2037.04%33.80%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV +3.42%E +0.909%K +1.24%G +0.042% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.92%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -0.985%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -12.40%E -5.85%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.21%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -0.234%E -0.073%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 06:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.64%E -4.92%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |