L’École des cotesFrançais
Gimnasia La Plata v Argentinos Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +3.42%
Avantage +0.909%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 3.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%27.45%27.48%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.7632.26%29.50%29.41%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.32%2.42cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -3.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.16%41.41%41.39%42.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.252.3147.62%44.93%44.44%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.234%
Avantage -0.073%
Kelly -0.106%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.45%31.15%31.13%32.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.963.003.2037.04%33.80%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV +3.42%E +0.909%K +1.24%G +0.042% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.92%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -0.985%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -12.40%E -5.85%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.21%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -0.234%E -0.073%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 06:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 09:45 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.64%E -4.92%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 04:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 04:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 23:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |