A Escola das Odds

Gimnasia La Plata v Argentinos Juniors

Início: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Final: Gimnasia La Plata 2–0 Argentinos Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Previsão 27.50%3.64odd justa
EV +3.42%
Vantagem +0.909%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.94%27.45%27.48%28.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.7632.26%29.50%29.41%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 41.32%2.42odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -3.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.16%41.41%41.39%42.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.252.3147.62%44.93%44.44%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.18%3.21odd justa
EV -0.234%
Vantagem -0.073%
Kelly -0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.45%31.15%31.13%32.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.963.003.2037.04%33.80%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV +3.42%E +0.909%K +1.24%G +0.042%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.92%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.14%E +0.838%K +1.14%G +0.036%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV +0.390%E +0.107%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.54%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -0.985%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -12.40%E -5.85%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 18:55
LowVig.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:05
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:05
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:36
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.21%E -2.73%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:35
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -0.234%E -0.073%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 04:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:49
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:54
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:45
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 06:49
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 14:45
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 18:36
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 09:45
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 17:35
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:36
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 09:45
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 04:35
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 04:35
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 18:33
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.64%E -4.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-03 18:25
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 04:45
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 04:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 04:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%1.5%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-05-03 18:55