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Estudiantes v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes (Local)
Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.30%47.09%47.16%49.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.962.0554.05%50.78%50.89%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV +4.57%
Edge +0.933%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.28%21.39%21.42%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.284.9026.67%23.26%23.39%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.44%31.51%31.43%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.953.0537.04%34.11%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 47.18%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 21.34%; Draw: 31.48%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.57%E +0.933%K +1.17%G +0.054% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.57%E +0.933%K +1.17%G +0.054% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.04%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.99%EV +3.08%E +0.637%K +0.804%G +0.025% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.97%EV -4.92%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -6.59%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV +2.87%E +0.595%K +0.750%G +0.021% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.59%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.61%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.18%EV +2.23%E +0.465%K +0.587%G +0.013% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.61%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.18%EV +2.23%E +0.465%K +0.587%G +0.013% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.80%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.83%E -0.398%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.13%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.83%E -0.398%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 19:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -4.71%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.23%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.18%EV -10.84%E -5.73%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.23%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -12.48%E -4.49%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 19:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.30%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -15.00%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.72%E -6.88%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.72%EV -11.78%E -6.30%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -11.43%E -2.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.68%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.53%EV -4.71%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -3.98%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.42%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.37%EV -8.95%E -4.64%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.27%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
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