StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes v Gimnasia La Plata

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 19:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Estudiantes 4–0 Gimnasia La Plata

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes (Hemma)

Prognos 47.18%2.12rättvist odds
EV -3.29%
Fördel -1.60%
Kelly -3.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.30%47.09%47.16%49.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.851.971.962.0554.05%50.78%50.89%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Borta)

Prognos 21.34%4.69rättvist odds
EV +4.57%
Fördel +0.933%
Kelly +1.17%
Tillväxt +0.054%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.28%21.39%21.42%23.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.304.284.9026.67%23.26%23.39%20.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.48%3.18rättvist odds
EV -3.98%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -1.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.44%31.51%31.43%33.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.932.953.0537.04%34.11%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Estudiantes (Hemma): 47.18%; Gimnasia La Plata (Borta): 21.34%; Oavgjort: 31.48%. För Gimnasia La Plata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.69. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.57%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.57%E +0.933%K +1.17%G +0.054%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:29
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.57%E +0.933%K +1.17%G +0.054%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:29
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.04%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.99%EV +3.08%E +0.637%K +0.804%G +0.025%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.97%EV -4.92%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 19:30
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -6.59%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV +2.87%E +0.595%K +0.750%G +0.021%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.59%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.61%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.18%EV +2.23%E +0.465%K +0.587%G +0.013%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.61%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.18%EV +2.23%E +0.465%K +0.587%G +0.013%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.80%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.83%E -0.398%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.13%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -1.83%E -0.398%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -8.07%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:39
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.96%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:24
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 19:29
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:38
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -4.71%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -8.23%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.18%EV -10.84%E -5.73%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.23%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -12.48%E -4.49%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.30%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 19:34
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -15.00%E -5.55%K -8.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.72%E -6.88%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-15 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.72%EV -11.78%E -6.30%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -11.43%E -2.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.68%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:34
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.53%EV -4.71%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -3.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.42%EV -9.42%E -4.91%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.37%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.37%EV -8.95%E -4.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -19.97%E -5.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.27%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 19:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%1.0%2026-08-15 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%1.3%2026-08-15 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%1.3%2026-08-15 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%1.3%2026-08-15 19:39
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.71%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%1.7%2026-08-15 19:39