The School of Odds

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors

2026-07-26 22:30 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.9625.25%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.61%4.627Min
24.58%4.068Max
22.28%4.488Mean
22.16%4.512Median
22.16%4.512IQM
22.33%4.478Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.16%

EV -4.69%Edge -1.09%Kelly -1.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Boca Juniors (Visit)

Odds
1.8653.76%Min
1.9950.32%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1047.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.13%2.266Min
46.70%2.141Max
45.83%2.182Mean
45.82%2.182Median
45.82%2.182IQM
45.78%2.185Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 45.82%

EV -3.78%Edge -1.80%Kelly -3.44%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.8435.25%Mean
2.8834.72%Median
3.0033.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.12%3.213Min
32.61%3.067Max
31.88%3.136Mean
32.02%3.123Median
32.02%3.123IQM
31.89%3.136Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 32.02%

EV -3.95%Edge -1.32%Kelly -1.98%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDeportivo Riestra (Local) ▼Boca Juniors (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26% NM 21.61%EV -4.69% E -1.09% K -1.42% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 45.78%EV -6.99% E -3.44% K -6.78% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.61%EV -8.76% E -3.07% K -4.73% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-02 22:15
1xBet4.22I 23.70% NM 22.52%EV -6.46% E -1.53% K -2.01% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.26%EV -3.78% E -1.80% K -3.44% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.22%EV -5.55% E -1.88% K -2.85% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 03:19
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81% NM 21.68%EV -6.91% E -1.64% K -2.16% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 46.70%EV -10.65% E -5.46% K -11.21% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.62%EV -7.79% E -2.71% K -4.15% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 11:45
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10% NM 22.49%EV -8.02% E -1.93% K -2.54% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 45.32%EV -5.61% E -2.72% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.19%EV -7.15% E -2.47% K -3.77% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 03:14
SportsBet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.49%EV -11.34% E -2.84% K -3.78% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 45.18%EV -4.70% E -2.26% K -4.35% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.33%EV -3.95% E -1.32% K -1.98% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 06:39
FanDuel4.00I 25.00% NM 23.34%EV -11.34% E -2.84% K -3.78% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.54%EV -6.07% E -2.96% K -5.78% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.12%EV -3.95% E -1.32% K -1.98% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 06:38
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77% NM 21.84%EV -14.00% E -3.61% K -4.86% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 45.81%EV -15.23% E -8.23% K -17.92% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 32.35%EV -16.12% E -6.15% K -9.95% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-02 22:03
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97% NM 22.70%EV -14.67% E -3.81% K -5.15% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 45.52%EV -12.03% E -6.26% K -13.07% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.78%EV -11.96% E -4.35% K -6.83% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-02 23:00
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97% NM 21.97%EV -14.67% E -3.81% K -5.15% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 45.49%EV -14.78% E -7.94% K -17.18% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 32.54%EV -16.76% E -6.45% K -10.47% G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-02 20:59
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32% NM 23.70%EV -15.77% E -4.15% K -5.63% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.03%EV -8.36% E -4.18% K -8.36% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.27%EV -7.79% E -2.71% K -4.15% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-03 06:39
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03% NM 22.80%EV -17.99% E -4.86% K -6.66% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 45.36%EV -14.78% E -7.94% K -17.18% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 31.84%EV -15.16% E -5.72% K -9.19% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-02 22:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 24.58%EV -22.42% E -6.41% K -8.97% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 44.13%EV -10.65% E -5.46% K -11.21% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.29%EV -11.96% E -4.35% K -6.83% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-03 06:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth