Language:English
Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV +9.81%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.241%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%21.85%21.96%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.205.0026.67%23.24%23.81%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 44.33%2.26fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.38%44.56%44.29%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.072.082.1853.19%48.41%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd
EV +0.434%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.219%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.60%33.75%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.802.9838.17%36.12%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 21.96%; Boca Juniors (Visit): 44.33%; Draw: 33.70%. For Deportivo Riestra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.96%EV -12.66%E -6.43%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.08%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +7.62%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.149% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -13.99%E -7.21%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.26%E -0.780%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.89%EV -16.65%E -8.86%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +3.22%E +0.686%K +0.871%G +0.028% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.99%E -2.93%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.78%E -3.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV -10.17%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.24%EV +0.434%E +0.146%K +0.219%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 22:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.43%EV -12.22%E -6.17%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.58%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -13.69%E -3.48%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -10.00%E -4.93%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.68%E -3.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.60%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.69%E -4.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -17.64%E -4.70%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.70% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.45% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
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