Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors

Início: 2026-07-26 22:30 UTC

Final: Deportivo Riestra 3–0 Boca Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Previsão 21.96%4.55odd justa
EV +9.81%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +2.45%
Crescimento +0.241%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.76%21.85%21.96%23.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.304.205.0026.67%23.24%23.81%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boca Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 44.33%2.26odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.38%44.56%44.29%48.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.072.082.1853.19%48.41%48.08%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 33.70%2.97odd justa
EV +0.434%
Vantagem +0.146%
Kelly +0.219%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.24%33.60%33.75%34.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.772.802.9838.17%36.12%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 21.96%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 44.33%; Empate: 33.70%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.55. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.96%EV -12.66%E -6.43%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.08%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:25
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +7.62%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.149%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -13.99%E -7.21%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.26%E -0.780%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.89%EV -16.65%E -8.86%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 22:26
Pinnacle🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +3.22%E +0.686%K +0.871%G +0.028%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 22:25
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:15
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:25
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:25
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:15
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:15
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 22:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.99%E -2.93%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 22:26
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:20
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.78%E -3.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 22:20
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 22:20
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:19
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:20
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 22:15
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV -10.17%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.24%EV +0.434%E +0.146%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-26 22:19
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:26
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 22:12
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 22:15
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.43%EV -12.22%E -6.17%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.58%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -13.69%E -3.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -10.00%E -4.93%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.68%E -3.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.60%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.69%E -4.03%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -17.64%E -4.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%0.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%0.8%2026-07-26 22:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%0.8%2026-07-26 22:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.70%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.45%1.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.1%2026-07-26 22:25