L’École des cotes

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors

2026-07-26 22:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 21.05%4.75cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.459%
Kelly -0.585%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%21.08%21.03%22.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.394.414.6525.64%22.76%22.68%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boca Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.91%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.67%46.96%46.96%49.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.992.0854.64%50.85%50.25%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.04%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.676%
Avantage -0.218%
Kelly -0.322%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.41%31.96%32.01%32.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.35%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -2.13%E -0.459%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.65%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:35
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.19%E -0.693%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:10
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.19%E -0.693%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:10
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.19%E -0.693%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -9.93%E -5.17%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:10
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.19%E -0.693%K -0.885%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 22:34
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.19%E -0.693%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.20%EV -6.64%E -3.34%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:10
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.98%EV -4.66%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.59%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -6.12%E -2.09%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 17:40
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:30
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 21:49
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 14:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 22:34
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:34
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 22:34
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -12.74%E -6.85%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.29%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -12.74%E -6.85%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 18:10
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.34%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.72%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:35
LowVig.ag4.41I 22.68%NM 21.59%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetOnline.ag4.41I 22.68%NM 21.59%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetAnything4.41I 22.68%NM 21.59%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 12:20
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:35
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.40%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -14.15%E -7.73%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:55
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.17%E -3.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 00:40
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 21:49
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -8.87%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.72%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 22:59
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.52%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 02:25
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.52%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 02:25
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.41%EV -7.58%E -3.85%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.53%EV -9.33%E -3.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 22:34
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -11.60%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:34
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.60%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 22:35
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -11.60%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -10.40%E -5.44%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -11.60%E -2.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -14.15%E -7.73%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 22:34
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -13.71%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.86%E -5.72%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -13.71%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.68%EV -11.80%E -6.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-23 09:24
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.15%EV -17.92%E -4.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.44%EV -12.74%E -6.85%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.65%1.1%2026-07-26 02:45
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%3.4%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%3.4%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%3.4%2026-07-26 02:00