Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 22:30 UTC

Score final : Deportivo Riestra 3–0 Boca Juniors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV +9.81%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +2.45%
Croissance +0.241%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.76%21.85%21.96%23.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.205.0026.67%23.24%23.81%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boca Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.33%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.38%44.56%44.29%48.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.072.082.1853.19%48.41%48.08%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.70%2.97cote équitable
EV +0.434%
Avantage +0.146%
Kelly +0.219%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%33.60%33.75%34.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.802.9838.17%36.12%35.71%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportivo Riestra (Local) : 21.96% ; Boca Juniors (Visiteur) : 44.33% ; Match nul : 33.70%. Pour Deportivo Riestra (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.55. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.81%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.96%EV -12.66%E -6.43%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.08%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:25
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +7.62%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.149%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -13.99%E -7.21%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.26%E -0.780%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.89%EV -16.65%E -8.86%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 22:26
Pinnacle🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +3.22%E +0.686%K +0.871%G +0.028%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 22:25
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:15
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:25
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 22:25
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:15
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:15
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 22:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.99%E -2.93%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 22:26
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:20
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.78%E -3.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 22:20
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 22:20
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:19
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:20
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 22:15
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV -10.17%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.24%EV +0.434%E +0.146%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-26 22:19
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:26
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 22:12
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 22:15
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.43%EV -12.22%E -6.17%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.58%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -13.69%E -3.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -10.00%E -4.93%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.68%E -3.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.60%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.69%E -4.03%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -17.64%E -4.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%0.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%0.8%2026-07-26 22:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%0.8%2026-07-26 22:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.70%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.45%1.7%2026-07-26 22:25
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.1%2026-07-26 22:25