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Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV +9.81%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.241%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.76%21.85%21.96%23.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.205.0026.67%23.24%23.81%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 44.33%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.38%44.56%44.29%48.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.072.082.1853.19%48.41%48.08%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.70%2.97momio equitativo
EV +0.434%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.219%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%33.60%33.75%34.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.802.9838.17%36.12%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 21.96%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 44.33%; Empate: 33.70%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.55. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.81%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.96%EV -12.66%E -6.43%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV +9.81%E +1.96%K +2.45%G +0.241% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.08%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV +7.62%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.149% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -13.99%E -7.21%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.26%E -0.780%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -15.76%E -8.30%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV +5.42%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.077% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.89%EV -16.65%E -8.86%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +3.22%E +0.686%K +0.871%G +0.028% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.25%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -1.17%E -0.260%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.95%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.510%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.74%EV -4.96%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.37%E -0.765%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.45%E -3.06%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.99%E -2.93%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.78%E -3.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.32%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.10%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.76%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.90%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV -10.17%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.24%EV +0.434%E +0.146%K +0.219%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 22:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -11.36%E -4.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.43%EV -12.22%E -6.17%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.58%EV -11.70%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -13.69%E -3.48%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -10.00%E -4.93%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.68%E -3.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.11%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -5.63%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -14.35%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.60%EV -13.10%E -6.69%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -10.69%E -4.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -17.64%E -4.70%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -11.33%E -5.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.33%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.70% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.45% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 22:25 |