La escuela de los momios

Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors

2026-07-26 22:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Predicción 20.95%4.77momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.414%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.33%21.02%20.99%22.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.424.504.7025.64%22.65%22.22%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boca Juniors (Visitante)

Predicción 46.94%2.13momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.67%46.97%46.96%49.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.992.0854.64%50.81%50.25%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.11%3.11momio equitativo
EV -0.450%
Ventaja -0.145%
Kelly -0.214%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.41%32.01%32.05%32.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.37%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -1.53%E -0.326%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:49
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -1.53%E -0.326%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:50
BetAnything4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -1.53%E -0.326%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:50
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.69%EV -2.58%E -0.554%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.70%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.61%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 04:09
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.63%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.450%E -0.145%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:10
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.63%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.450%E -0.145%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:10
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.63%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -9.88%E -5.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -0.450%E -0.145%K -0.214%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:10
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.63%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 22:34
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.63%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.20%EV -6.60%E -3.32%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:10
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.98%EV -5.09%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.59%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -5.91%E -2.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 17:40
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:30
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 21:49
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 14:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 22:34
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:34
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.95%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 22:34
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -12.70%E -6.83%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -12.70%E -6.83%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 18:10
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.77%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:35
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:35
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 09:08
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -14.11%E -7.71%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:55
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 00:40
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 21:49
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 22:59
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -10.96%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.30%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 06:34
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -10.96%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.37%E -1.14%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.30%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 06:34
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -10.96%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.41%EV -7.54%E -3.83%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -10.96%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.53%EV -9.12%E -3.22%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 22:34
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 04:39
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 22:35
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -14.11%E -7.71%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 22:34
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.82%E -5.70%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.68%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 04:04
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.15%EV -18.29%E -4.69%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.44%EV -12.70%E -6.83%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%2.2%2026-07-26 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%2.2%2026-07-26 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%2.2%2026-07-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%2.2%2026-07-26 08:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.04%3.0%2026-07-26 08:05