Szkoła Kursów

Defensa y Justicia v Boca Juniors

Początek: 2026-04-23 23:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.21%3.20kurs godziwy
EV +1.44%
Przewaga +0.442%
Kelly +0.639%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.24%31.22%31.18%32.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.66%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Boca Juniors (Goście)

Prognoza 36.06%2.77kurs godziwy
EV -0.461%
Przewaga -0.167%
Kelly -0.262%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.76

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%36.09%36.14%38.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.552.592.7644.44%39.22%38.61%36.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.72%3.06kurs godziwy
EV -3.46%
Przewaga -1.17%
Kelly -1.78%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.67%32.69%32.68%33.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.832.852.9538.02%35.34%35.09%33.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV +1.44%E +0.442%K +0.639%G +0.009%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.78%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.03%EV -2.62%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.47%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -2.93%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:44
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.23%EV -8.05%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:54
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:46
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:50
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:54
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.72%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -18.85%E -8.38%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -7.93%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:50
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.17%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -0.461%E -0.167%K -0.262%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:44
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:54
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:54
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 22:55
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:45
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.35%E -3.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -17.05%E -7.41%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.94%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 22:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-04-23 22:55