La scuola delle quote

Defensa y Justicia v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-04-23 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Casa)

Previsione 31.21%3.20quota equa
EV +1.44%
Vantaggio +0.442%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.24%31.22%31.18%32.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.66%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.06%2.77quota equa
EV -0.461%
Vantaggio -0.167%
Kelly -0.262%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%36.09%36.14%38.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.552.592.7644.44%39.22%38.61%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.72%3.06quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.67%32.69%32.68%33.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.832.852.9538.02%35.34%35.09%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV +1.44%E +0.442%K +0.639%G +0.009%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.78%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.03%EV -2.62%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.47%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -2.93%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:44
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.23%EV -8.05%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:54
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:46
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:50
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:54
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.72%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -18.85%E -8.38%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -7.93%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:50
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.17%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -0.461%E -0.167%K -0.262%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:44
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:54
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:54
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 22:55
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:45
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.35%E -3.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -17.05%E -7.41%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.94%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-04-23 22:55