L’École des cotesFrançais
Defensa y Justicia v Boca Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 31.21%3.20cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.442%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.24%31.22%31.18%32.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.66%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Boca Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.461%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.262%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.09%36.14%38.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.552.592.7644.44%39.22%38.61%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.72%3.06cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.67%32.69%32.68%33.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.832.852.9538.02%35.34%35.09%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV +1.44%E +0.442%K +0.639%G +0.009% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.78%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.03%EV -2.62%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.47%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -2.93%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.23%EV -8.05%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:46 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.72%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -18.85%E -8.38%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -7.93%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.17%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -0.461%E -0.167%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.35%E -3.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -17.05%E -7.41%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.94%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |