Die Schule der Quoten

Defensa y Justicia v Boca Juniors

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-23 23:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Heim)

Prognose 31.21%3.20faire Quote
EV +1.44%
Vorteil +0.442%
Kelly +0.639%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.24%31.22%31.18%32.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.66%33.33%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Boca Juniors (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.06%2.77faire Quote
EV -0.461%
Vorteil -0.167%
Kelly -0.262%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.52%36.09%36.14%38.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.252.552.592.7644.44%39.22%38.61%36.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.72%3.06faire Quote
EV -3.46%
Vorteil -1.17%
Kelly -1.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.67%32.69%32.68%33.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.832.852.9538.02%35.34%35.09%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV +1.44%E +0.442%K +0.639%G +0.009%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.78%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 31.03%EV -2.62%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.47%EV -1.54%E -0.565%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -2.93%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.18%EV -6.08%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.24%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:44
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.23%EV -8.05%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:54
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:49
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:46
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:50
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:54
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.72%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:49
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -7.30%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -18.85%E -8.38%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -7.93%E -2.69%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:50
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -9.17%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -0.461%E -0.167%K -0.262%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:44
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:54
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:54
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 22:55
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:45
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -12.36%E -5.09%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.35%E -3.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.11%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -17.05%E -7.41%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -13.94%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.61%E -4.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.17%E -5.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 22:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-04-23 22:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-04-23 22:55