Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 28.26%; Rosario Central (Visit): 38.11%; Draw: 33.63%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.984%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.36%E -0.389%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 17:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -2.77%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.95%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.99%EV -5.11%E -2.05%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.88%E -2.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.08%E -0.308%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -11.21%E -4.81%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.82%E -3.79%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -13.12%E -5.75%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |