The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

CA Tigre BA v Rosario Central

2026-09-13 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prediction 33.89%2.95fair odd
EV -0.363%
Edge -0.124%
Kelly -0.187%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.94%33.89%33.89%34.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.652.9438.46%37.17%37.74%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.06%34.52%34.52%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.502.7841.67%39.05%40.00%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.59%3.17fair odd
EV -6.80%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.59%31.59%31.59%33.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.752.702.9538.76%36.35%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: CA Tigre BA (Local): 33.89%; Rosario Central (Visit): 34.52%; Draw: 31.59%. For CA Tigre BA (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.94, with an expected value of -0.363%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -0.363%E -0.124%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.15%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -10.59%E -3.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.80%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.80%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.80%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.80%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -10.19%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -13.71%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -14.70%E -5.44%K -8.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.02%EV -10.19%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -17.16%E -7.15%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.63%EV -17.86%E -6.87%K -11.16%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -10.19%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.26%EV -17.16%E -7.15%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 32.80%EV -18.49%E -7.17%K -11.70%G +0.000%18.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -11.54%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 17:15
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.71%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -14.70%E -5.44%K -8.65%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.87%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.88%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.25%EV -16.28%E -6.14%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:10