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CA Tigre BA v Rosario Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.431%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%28.29%28.28%29.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.74%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rosario Central (Visitante)
Predicción 38.11%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.984%
Ventaja +0.371%
Kelly +0.597%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.47%38.14%38.04%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.6544.44%41.27%41.67%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.63%2.97momio equitativo
EV -0.795%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.408%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%33.56%33.68%34.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.762.9538.46%36.09%36.17%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CA Tigre BA (Local): 28.26%; Rosario Central (Visitante): 38.11%; Empate: 33.63%. Para Rosario Central (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.62. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.984%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.36%E -0.389%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 17:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -2.77%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.95%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.99%EV -5.11%E -2.05%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.88%E -2.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.08%E -0.308%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -11.21%E -4.81%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.82%E -3.79%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -13.12%E -5.75%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |