Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CA Tigre BA v Rosario Central

Início: 2026-09-13 17:45 UTC

Final: CA Tigre BA 0–1 Rosario Central

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Previsão 28.26%3.54odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.308%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.80%28.29%28.28%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.74%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Previsão 38.11%2.62odd justa
EV +0.984%
Vantagem +0.371%
Kelly +0.597%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.47%38.14%38.04%39.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.6544.44%41.27%41.67%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 33.63%2.97odd justa
EV -0.795%
Vantagem -0.270%
Kelly -0.408%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.74%33.56%33.68%34.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.762.9538.46%36.09%36.17%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CA Tigre BA (Local): 28.26%; Rosario Central (Visitante): 38.11%; Empate: 33.63%. Para Rosario Central (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.62. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.984%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Pinnacle🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.36%E -0.389%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 17:36
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -2.77%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.95%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.99%EV -5.11%E -2.05%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.88%E -2.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:40
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:41
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:34
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.08%E -0.308%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:41
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:35
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:40
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -11.21%E -4.81%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.82%E -3.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -13.12%E -5.75%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%1.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-09-13 17:35