Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA v Rosario Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:45 UTC

Score final : CA Tigre BA 0–1 Rosario Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 28.26%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.308%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%28.29%28.28%29.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.74%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosario Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.11%2.62cote équitable
EV +0.984%
Avantage +0.371%
Kelly +0.597%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.47%38.14%38.04%39.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.6544.44%41.27%41.67%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.795%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.408%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.74%33.56%33.68%34.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.762.9538.46%36.09%36.17%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CA Tigre BA (Local) : 28.26% ; Rosario Central (Visiteur) : 38.11% ; Match nul : 33.63%. Pour Rosario Central (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.62. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.984%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV +0.984%E +0.371%K +0.597%G +0.006%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Pinnacle🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.36%E -0.389%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 17:36
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -2.77%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.95%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.99%EV -5.11%E -2.05%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.88%E -2.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:40
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:41
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:34
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -0.795%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.08%E -0.308%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:41
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 17:35
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:40
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.14%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -11.21%E -4.81%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -11.82%E -3.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -13.12%E -5.75%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -14.26%E -6.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%1.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-09-13 17:35