StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Boca Juniors v Velez Sarsfield BA

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Boca Juniors 1–1 Velez Sarsfield BA

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Boca Juniors (Hemma)

Prognos 58.02%1.72rättvist odds
EV +8.50%
Fördel +4.55%
Kelly +9.77%
Tillväxt +0.831%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.79%57.97%57.96%59.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.601.601.8766.67%62.43%62.50%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta)

Prognos 15.49%6.45rättvist odds
EV +4.26%
Fördel +0.633%
Kelly +0.744%
Tillväxt +0.032%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.32%15.51%15.55%19.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.825.956.006.7320.75%16.80%16.67%14.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.49%3.78rättvist odds
EV +0.645%
Fördel +0.170%
Kelly +0.230%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.35%26.52%26.49%29.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.223.463.503.8031.06%28.86%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Boca Juniors (Hemma): 58.02%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta): 15.49%; Oavgjort: 26.49%. För Boca Juniors (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.72. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.87, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +8.50%E +4.55%K +9.77%G +0.831%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -25.33%E -5.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -14.72%E -4.57%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -2.52%E -1.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 21:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 21:24
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.32%EV +4.26%E +0.633%K +0.744%G +0.032%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.92%EV -5.18%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 22:05
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.64%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.29%EV -2.55%E -0.406%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.06%EV -2.27%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -5.42%E -3.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-08 21:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-08 21:14
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 21:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 21:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.65%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 21:19
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 21:34
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.73%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 22:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 22:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -9.49%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 21:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.73%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 22:00
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.09%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.51%EV -11.81%E -7.77%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.97%EV -12.39%E -8.20%K -24.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 22:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.75%EV -12.97%E -8.64%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 22:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-08-08 22:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-08-08 22:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86%2.0%2026-08-08 22:10