Langue:Français
Boca Juniors v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 58.02%1.72cote équitable
EV +8.50%
Avantage +4.55%
Kelly +9.77%
Croissance +0.831%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.79%57.97%57.96%59.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.8766.67%62.43%62.50%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.49%6.45cote équitable
EV +4.26%
Avantage +0.633%
Kelly +0.744%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 6.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.32%15.51%15.55%19.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.825.956.006.7320.75%16.80%16.67%14.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.49%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.645%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.230%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.35%26.52%26.49%29.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.223.463.503.8031.06%28.86%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boca Juniors (Local) : 58.02% ; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur) : 15.49% ; Match nul : 26.49%. Pour Boca Juniors (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.87, soit une espérance positive de +8.50%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +8.50%E +4.55%K +9.77%G +0.831% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -25.33%E -5.25%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -14.72%E -4.57%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -2.52%E -1.50%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.32%EV +4.26%E +0.633%K +0.744%G +0.032% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.92%EV -5.18%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.64%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.29%EV -2.55%E -0.406%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.06%EV -2.27%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -5.42%E -3.33%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.65%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.73%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -9.49%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 21:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.73%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.09%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.51%EV -11.81%E -7.77%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.97%EV -12.39%E -8.20%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.75%EV -12.97%E -8.64%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |