Idioma:Português
Boca Juniors v Velez Sarsfield BA
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Boca Juniors (Local)
Previsão 58.02%1.72odd justa
EV +8.50%
Vantagem +4.55%
Kelly +9.77%
Crescimento +0.831%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.79%57.97%57.96%59.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.601.8766.67%62.43%62.50%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Previsão 15.49%6.45odd justa
EV +4.26%
Vantagem +0.633%
Kelly +0.744%
Crescimento +0.032%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.73
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.32%15.51%15.55%19.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.825.956.006.7320.75%16.80%16.67%14.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 26.49%3.78odd justa
EV +0.645%
Vantagem +0.170%
Kelly +0.230%
Crescimento +0.001%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.35%26.52%26.49%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.223.463.503.8031.06%28.86%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boca Juniors (Local): 58.02%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante): 15.49%; Empate: 26.49%. Para Boca Juniors (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.72. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.50%.
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +8.50%E +4.55%K +9.77%G +0.831% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -25.33%E -5.25%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -14.72%E -4.57%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -2.52%E -1.50%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.32%EV +4.26%E +0.633%K +0.744%G +0.032% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.92%EV -5.18%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.64%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.29%EV -2.55%E -0.406%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.06%EV -2.27%E -0.615%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -5.42%E -3.33%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.17%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +0.645%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.65%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -6.00%E -3.71%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.850%E -0.133%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -3.17%E -0.508%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.16%E -4.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.04%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -1.62%E -0.256%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.73%EV -8.32%E -5.27%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -9.49%E -6.08%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -16.34%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 21:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.73%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -10.92%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.09%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.79%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.19%EV -11.23%E -7.34%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -7.05%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.51%EV -11.81%E -7.77%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.97%EV -12.39%E -8.20%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.75%EV -12.97%E -8.64%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -8.60%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |