Language:English
Boca Juniors v Estudiantes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.62%51.32%51.48%54.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes (Visit)
Prediction 19.42%5.15fair odd
EV +5.46%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 5.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%19.54%19.44%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.744.755.4323.53%21.08%21.05%18.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -0.917%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.15%29.08%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.47%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 51.44%; Estudiantes (Visit): 19.42%; Draw: 29.14%. For Estudiantes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.65%EV +5.46%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -0.917%E -0.270%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.225%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.89%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV -3.28%E -0.659%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.05%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -13.07%E -7.74%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -9.69%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.03%EV -10.53%E -3.43%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-05 21:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.57%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.86%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.16%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.62%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-05 21:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |