Idioma:Español
Boca Juniors v Estudiantes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.62%51.32%51.48%54.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Estudiantes (Visitante)
Predicción 19.42%5.15momio equitativo
EV +5.46%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.65%19.54%19.44%21.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.254.744.755.4323.53%21.08%21.05%18.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.917%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.382%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.15%29.08%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.47%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boca Juniors (Local): 51.44%; Estudiantes (Visitante): 19.42%; Empate: 29.14%. Para Estudiantes (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.15. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.43, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.65%EV +5.46%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -0.917%E -0.270%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.225%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.89%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV -3.28%E -0.659%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.23%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.86%E -0.780%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.05%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.85%EV -13.07%E -7.74%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -7.75%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -9.69%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.03%EV -10.53%E -3.43%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-05 21:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.57%EV -10.50%E -6.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 21:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.86%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -6.16%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.54%E -3.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.62%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -17.46%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.66%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-05 21:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |